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Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally

Blackridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Churchill

Tract 42003519000 · Allegheny County, PA · pop 3,127 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

The Lower-tier score of 3.9/10 for census tract 42003519000 reflects conditions in the Blackridge area of Churchill, Pennsylvania. That is riskier than about 10% of US census tracts.

0% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $105,924 a year. Renters make up 3% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 3% Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units1,336
Renter share3.1%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$105,924

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Blackridge
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Churchill
Moderate
Within county
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#367 of 394 tracts In Allegheny County
Very Low
Within state
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#3,135 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Churchill and the region

Centroid at 40.4388, -79.8416 · click any tract to drill in

Why Blackridge scores 1.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Churchill
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Churchill
2.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Churchill
1.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Churchill
2.9

How Blackridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Blackridge risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.71.7This tracttract 519000Churchill: 3.83.8Churchillparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 15Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 4.58%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.4%Peak (2001)
  • 3Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420035190002000: 2 filings (3.69/100 renter HHs)2001: 4 filings (7.37/100 renter HHs)2002: 1 filings (1.84/100 renter HHs)2003: 4 filings (7.37/100 renter HHs)2004: 1 filings (1.84/100 renter HHs)2005: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2006: 3 filings (5.39/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Blackridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Blackridge

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Churchill, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well below the Allegheny County average of 5.6 and below the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 15 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 4.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.4% of renter households in 2001.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 42003519000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42003519000?

Census tract 42003519000 in the Blackridge neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 42003519000?

3.3% of residents in tract 42003519000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,127.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 42003519000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 43th, minority 34th, housing 6th.
Q4

Is tract 42003519000 considered part of Blackridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42003519000 fall within Blackridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42003519000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 15 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42003519000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.58% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 42003519000 compare to Churchill overall?

Tract 42003519000 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Churchill at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Churchill; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 42003519000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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