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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Mechanicsville Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 42017100207 · Bucks County, PA · pop 5,294 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Eviction risk in Mechanicsville in Bucks centers on tract 42017100207, which scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 5,294 residents. That is riskier than about 64% of US census tracts.

About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $679 a month against an average household income of $77,569 a year, roughly 11% of income at the averages. About 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 24% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,089
Renter share46.1%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate17.0%
Median income$77,569

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Mechanicsville
Very Low
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 147 tracts In Bucks County
Very High
Within state
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#1,757 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Moderate
National
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#48,083 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bucks County and the region

Centroid at 40.1215, -74.9481 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mechanicsville scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
17.0% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$679 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Mechanicsville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mechanicsville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 100207County: 2.22.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 254Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 4.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.4%Peak (2000)
  • 44Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420171002072000: 55 filings (6.42/100 renter HHs)2001: 35 filings (4.08/100 renter HHs)2002: 36 filings (4.20/100 renter HHs)2003: 36 filings (4.20/100 renter HHs)2004: 26 filings (3.03/100 renter HHs)2005: 22 filings (2.37/100 renter HHs)2006: 44 filings (4.74/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mechanicsville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mechanicsville

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Pennsylvania eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Bucks County average of 5.4 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 254 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 4.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.4% of renter households in 2000.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42017100207

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42017100207?

Census tract 42017100207 in the Mechanicsville neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42017100207?

Median gross rent is $679/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42017100207?

17.0% of residents in tract 42017100207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,294.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42017100207?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 100th, minority 62th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 42017100207 considered part of Mechanicsville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42017100207 fall within Mechanicsville (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42017100207?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 254 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42017100207 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.15% of renter households, peaking at 6.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
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