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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Mechanicsville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 42017100208 · Bucks County, PA · pop 6,247 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 42017100208 belongs to Mechanicsville in Bucks, Pennsylvania. It is home to 6,247 residents and scores 6.2/10, an elevated reading for landlords. It lands near the 80th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 52% of renter households, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,334 a month while the average household earns $49,158 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 58% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 28% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units2,630
Renter share58.4%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate28.4%
Median income$49,158

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Mechanicsville
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 147 tracts In Bucks County
Very High
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#901 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,926 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bucks County and the region

Centroid at 40.1109, -74.9562 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mechanicsville scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
28.4% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$1,334 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Mechanicsville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mechanicsville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 100208County: 2.22.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,402Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 14.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.7%Peak (2005)
  • 219Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420171002082000: 206 filings (13.56/100 renter HHs)2001: 190 filings (12.51/100 renter HHs)2002: 189 filings (12.44/100 renter HHs)2003: 168 filings (11.06/100 renter HHs)2004: 150 filings (9.87/100 renter HHs)2005: 280 filings (24.71/100 renter HHs)2006: 219 filings (19.33/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mechanicsville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mechanicsville

What moves this score most is economic stress at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Pennsylvania eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Bucks County average of 5.4 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,402 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 14.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 24.7% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42017100208

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42017100208?

Census tract 42017100208 in the Mechanicsville neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42017100208?

Median gross rent is $1,334/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42017100208?

28.4% of residents in tract 42017100208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,247.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42017100208?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 87th, minority 58th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 42017100208 considered part of Mechanicsville?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42017100208 fall within Mechanicsville (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42017100208?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,402 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42017100208 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.78% of renter households, peaking at 24.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
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