Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Mechanicsville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 42017100208 · Bucks County, PA · pop 6,247 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 42017100208 covers part of the Mechanicsville area of Bucks County, PA, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units2,630
Renter share58.4%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate28.4%
Median income$49,158
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bucks County and the region
Centroid at 40.1109, -74.9562 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mechanicsville scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
28.4% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$1,334 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Mechanicsville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 58%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,402Total filings over 7 yrs
- 14.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.7%Peak (2005)
- 219Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mechanicsville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mechanicsville
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.6/10. Set annual rent against average income of $49,158 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
about half of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Bucks County average of 41.8%. The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Against the Bucks County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.4/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,402 filings here across 7 tracked years. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 7.1/10.
The worst year on record was 2005, when 24.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 14.8% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42017100208
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42017100208?
Census tract 42017100208 in the Mechanicsville neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42017100208?
Median gross rent is $1,334/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42017100208?
28.4% of residents in tract 42017100208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,247.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42017100208?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 87th, minority 58th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 42017100208 considered part of Mechanicsville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42017100208 fall within Mechanicsville (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42017100208?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,402 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42017100208 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.78% of renter households, peaking at 24.7% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
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