Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Mechanicsville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 42017100207 · Bucks County, PA · pop 5,294 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
42017100207 is a census tract in the Mechanicsville area of Bucks County, PA. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,089
Renter share46.1%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate17.0%
Median income$77,569
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bucks County and the region
Centroid at 40.1215, -74.9481 · click any tract to drill in
Why Mechanicsville scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
17.0% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$679 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Mechanicsville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 100%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 254Total filings over 7 yrs
- 4.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.4%Peak (2000)
- 44Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Mechanicsville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Mechanicsville
The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10.
Against the Bucks County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. 47% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Bucks County average of 41.8%.
The filing record is not thin: 254 evictions over 7 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2000, when 6.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Rent consumes only 11% of average household income of $77,569, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42017100207
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42017100207?
Census tract 42017100207 in the Mechanicsville neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42017100207?
Median gross rent is $679/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42017100207?
17.0% of residents in tract 42017100207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,294.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42017100207?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 100th, minority 62th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 42017100207 considered part of Mechanicsville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42017100207 fall within Mechanicsville (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42017100207?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 254 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42017100207 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.15% of renter households, peaking at 6.4% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
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