Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Neshaminy Falls Eviction Risk: Moderate , Trevose
Tract 42017101405 ·
Bucks County, PA · pop 5,932 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Tract 42017101405 sits in the Neshaminy Falls area of Trevose, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. Population here is 5,932. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%Stable renters 23%Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units2,504
Renter share36.5%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$82,527
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Neshaminy Falls
Very High
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Trevose
Moderate
Within county
79th percentile
#32 of 147 tracts In Bucks County
High
Within state
62th percentile
#1,298 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Trevose and the region
Centroid at 40.1524, -74.9866 · click any tract to drill in
Why Neshaminy Falls scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Trevose
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,403 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Trevose
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Trevose
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Trevose
6.2
How Neshaminy Falls compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
50%Socioeconomic
67%Household composition
34%Racial/ethnic minority
42%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
608Total filings over 7 yrs
8.06%Avg annual filing rate
15.6%Peak (2006)
180Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2006
Filings climbed 181% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Neshaminy Falls. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.6/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.5/10.
Against the Bucks County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. Court records carry 608 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
Cost burden runs 38% here against 41.8% across Bucks County. Filings peaked in 2006 at 15.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 8.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $1,403, close to the Trevose average.
Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $82,527.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42017101405
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42017101405?
Census tract 42017101405 in the Neshaminy Falls neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42017101405?
Median gross rent is $1,403/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42017101405?
5.9% of residents in tract 42017101405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,932.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42017101405?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 67th, minority 34th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 42017101405 considered part of Neshaminy Falls?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42017101405 fall within Neshaminy Falls (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42017101405?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 608 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42017101405 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.06% of renter households, peaking at 15.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42017101405 compare to Trevose overall?
Tract 42017101405 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Trevose at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Trevose; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.