Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,848 of 84,120 nationally
The Island Eviction Risk: Elevated , Butler
Tract 42019902300 · Butler County, PA · pop 3,212 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
For landlords sizing up the The Island area of Butler, census tract 42019902300 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.1/10. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 61% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 45% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $901 a month against an average household income of $33,804 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 65% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,406
Renter share64.8%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate28.2%
Median income$33,804
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Butler and the region
Centroid at 40.8589, -79.9058 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Island scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Butler
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
28.2% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$901 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Butler
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Butler
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Butler
7.7
How The Island compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 286Total filings over 5 yrs
- 6.68%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.4%Peak (2003)
- 62Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Island
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Butler, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the Butler County average of 4.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 286 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 6.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.4% of renter households in 2003.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42019902300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42019902300?
Census tract 42019902300 in the The Island neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42019902300?
Median gross rent is $901/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42019902300?
28.2% of residents in tract 42019902300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,212.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42019902300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 42th, minority 32th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 42019902300 considered part of The Island?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42019902300 fall within The Island (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42019902300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 286 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 42019902300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.68% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42019902300 compare to Butler overall?
Tract 42019902300 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Butler at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Butler; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Butler
Top eight tracts in Butler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related