Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
The Island Eviction Risk: Elevated , Butler
Tract 42019902300 · Butler County, PA · pop 3,212 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 7.2/10, tract 42019902300 in the The Island area of Butler, PA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,212 residents. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,406
Renter share64.8%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate28.2%
Median income$33,804
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Butler and the region
Centroid at 40.8589, -79.9058 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Island scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Butler
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
28.2% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$901 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Butler
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Butler
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Butler
7.7
How The Island compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 286Total filings over 5 yrs
- 6.68%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.4%Peak (2003)
- 62Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Island
Against Butler County at 35.7%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 3.0 points above the Butler County average of 4.2.
The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 7.7/10.
The filing record is not thin: 286 evictions over 5 years of observation. Average gross rent is $901, 10% above the Butler average. Filings peaked in 2003 at 7.4% of renter households.
In a typical year about 6.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42019902300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42019902300?
Census tract 42019902300 in the The Island neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42019902300?
Median gross rent is $901/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42019902300?
28.2% of residents in tract 42019902300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,212.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42019902300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 42th, minority 32th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 42019902300 considered part of The Island?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42019902300 fall within The Island (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42019902300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 286 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 42019902300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.68% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42019902300 compare to Butler overall?
Tract 42019902300 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Butler at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Butler; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Butler
Top eight tracts in Butler ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related