Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Moxham Eviction Risk: Lower , Johnstown
Tract 42021011000 · Cambria County, PA · pop 1,566 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 3.9/10, tract 42021011000 in the Moxham area of Ferndale, PA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units672
Renter share33.9%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$56,951
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Johnstown and the region
Centroid at 40.2905, -78.9198 · click any tract to drill in
Why Moxham scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Johnstown
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$836 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Johnstown
4.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Johnstown
7.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Johnstown
4.8
How Moxham compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 21
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 33%Grade B
- 24%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 3Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.15%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.2%Peak (2006)
- 3Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Moxham. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Moxham
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 2.7/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.2/10. The filing record is not thin: 3 evictions over 1 years of observation.
Running cool, regional political climate reads 3.1/10. Filings peaked in 2006 at 1.2% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Johnstown. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 1.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $56,951, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 39% of renters.
It tracks the Cambria County average of 4.1 closely. Average gross rent is $836, close to the Ferndale average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42021011000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42021011000?
Census tract 42021011000 in the Moxham neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42021011000?
Median gross rent is $836/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42021011000?
11.0% of residents in tract 42021011000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,566.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42021011000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 41th, minority 25th, housing 12th.
Q5
Is tract 42021011000 considered part of Moxham?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42021011000 fall within Moxham (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42021011000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 42021011000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.15% of renter households, peaking at 1.2% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42021011000 compare to Johnstown overall?
Tract 42021011000 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Johnstown at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Johnstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42021011000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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