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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally

Moxham Eviction Risk: Elevated , Johnstown

Tract 42021000500 · Cambria County, PA · pop 1,749 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

The Moxham area of Johnstown anchors census tract 42021000500, which lands at 6.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 82nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $760 a month against an average household income of $35,898 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 20% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units841
Renter share38.9%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate39.3%
Median income$35,898

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Moxham
Very High
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 9 tracts In Johnstown
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 42 tracts In Cambria County
Very High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#197 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Johnstown and the region

Centroid at 40.3003, -78.9048 · click any tract to drill in

Why Moxham scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Johnstown
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
39.3% poverty · this tract
9.8
Supply constraint
$760 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Johnstown
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Johnstown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Johnstown
7.5

How Moxham compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Moxham risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.76.7This tracttract 000500Johnstown: 4.24.2Johnstownparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 50

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 12Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 2.13%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.1%Peak (2006)
  • 12Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Moxham. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Moxham

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Johnstown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cambria County average of 4.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42021000500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42021000500?

Census tract 42021000500 in the Moxham neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42021000500?

Median gross rent is $760/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42021000500?

39.3% of residents in tract 42021000500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,749.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42021000500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 84th, minority 57th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 42021000500 considered part of Moxham?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42021000500 fall within Moxham (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42021000500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 12 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 42021000500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.13% of renter households, peaking at 2.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42021000500 compare to Johnstown overall?

Tract 42021000500 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Johnstown at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Johnstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42021000500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Johnstown

Top eight tracts in Johnstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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