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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

College Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , State College

Tract 42027012300 · Centre County, PA · pop 2,280 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 5.2/10, tract 42027012300 in the College Heights area of State College, PA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,280 residents. The severe-burden share is 44%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 10% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units922
Renter share27.5%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$140,357

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In College Heights
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 9 tracts In State College
Very Low
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#12 of 41 tracts In Centre County
Elevated
Within state
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#1,074 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across State College and the region

Centroid at 40.7991, -77.8757 · click any tract to drill in

Why College Heights scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from State College
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,608 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from State College
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from State College
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from State College
9.4

How College Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
College Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 0123006.6State Collegeparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within College Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in College Heights

Cost burden runs 65% here against 44.4% across Centre County. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 9.4/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.3/10. Average gross rent is $1,608, 26% above the State College average.

Against the Centre County average of 4.5, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. The voucher gap is 12.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 1.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $140,357, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42027012300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42027012300?

Census tract 42027012300 in the College Heights neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42027012300?

Median gross rent is $1,608/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42027012300?

7.9% of residents in tract 42027012300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,280.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42027012300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 4th, minority 17th, housing 9th.
Q5

Is tract 42027012300 considered part of College Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42027012300 fall within College Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 42027012300 compare to State College overall?

Tract 42027012300 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of State College at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from State College eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in State College

Top eight tracts in State College ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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