Neighborhood · Ranked #3,733 of 84,120 nationally

Holmes-Foster Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , State College

Tract 42027012400 · Centre County, PA · pop 5,002 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

The Elevated-tier score of 6.5/10 for census tract 42027012400 reflects conditions in the Holmes-Foster Historic District area of State College, Pennsylvania. It lands near the 86th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 66% of renter households, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,251 monthly, set against $40,443 in average yearly household income, roughly 37% of income at the averages. About 82% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

7.3

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 54% Stable renters 28% Owners 18%

Tract context

Occupied units1,776

Renter share81.9%

SVI overall0.30

Poverty rate44.5%

Median income$40,443

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across State College and the region

Centroid at 40.7856, -77.8646 · click any tract to drill in

Why Holmes-Foster Historic District scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from State College

5.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.2

State political climate

Pennsylvania legislature & governorship

3.4

Economic stress

44.5% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$1,251 rent vs county FMR

3.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from State College

9.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.9

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from State College

9.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from State College

9.4

How Holmes-Foster Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

48%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
27%Racial/ethnic minority
86%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Holmes-Foster Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Holmes-Foster Historic District

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from State College eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the Centre County average of 4.8 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42027012400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42027012400?

Census tract 42027012400 in the Holmes-Foster Historic District neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 42027012400?

Median gross rent is $1,251/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 42027012400?

44.5% of residents in tract 42027012400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,002.

How socially vulnerable is tract 42027012400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 1th, minority 27th, housing 86th.

Is tract 42027012400 considered part of Holmes-Foster Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42027012400 fall within Holmes-Foster Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 42027012400 compare to State College overall?

Tract 42027012400 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of State College at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from State College eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in State College

Top eight tracts in State College ranked by composite eviction-risk score.