Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Carillon Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toughkenamon
Tract 42029306503 · Chester County, PA · pop 2,661 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
With a score of 5.5/10, tract 42029306503 in the Carillon area of Toughkenamon, PA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,661 residents. At $1,104 a month, rents run 58% under what the rest of Toughkenamon commands.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units802
Renter share30.8%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate17.6%
Median income$87,708
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toughkenamon and the region
Centroid at 39.8415, -75.7564 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carillon scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toughkenamon
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
17.6% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,104 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toughkenamon
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toughkenamon
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toughkenamon
6.1
How Carillon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 78Total filings over 7 yrs
- 6.28%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.3%Peak (2006)
- 16Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 78% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carillon
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.1/10. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Chester County average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.8/10. Court records carry 78 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2006, when 9.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $87,708, annual rent is just 15%.
Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42029306503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42029306503?
Census tract 42029306503 in the Carillon neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42029306503?
Median gross rent is $1,104/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42029306503?
17.6% of residents in tract 42029306503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,661.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42029306503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 57th, minority 71th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 42029306503 considered part of Carillon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42029306503 fall within Carillon (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42029306503?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 78 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42029306503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.28% of renter households, peaking at 9.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42029306503 compare to Toughkenamon overall?
Tract 42029306503 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Toughkenamon at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toughkenamon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toughkenamon
Top eight tracts in Toughkenamon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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