Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Carillon Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toughkenamon
Tract 42029306503 · Chester County, PA · pop 2,661 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
With a score of 5.5/10, tract 42029306503 in the Carillon neighborhood of Toughkenamon ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,661 residents. On the national scale it ranks #37,108 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
42% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,104 a month while the average household earns $87,708 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 31% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units802
Renter share30.8%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate17.6%
Median income$87,708
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toughkenamon and the region
Centroid at 39.8415, -75.7564 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carillon scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toughkenamon
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
17.6% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,104 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toughkenamon
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toughkenamon
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toughkenamon
6.1
How Carillon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 78Total filings over 7 yrs
- 6.28%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.3%Peak (2006)
- 16Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 78% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carillon
The heaviest input here is housing court bias at 6.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toughkenamon, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Chester County average of 5.1 and in line with the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 78 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 6.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.3% of renter households in 2006.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42029306503
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42029306503?
Census tract 42029306503 in the Carillon neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42029306503?
Median gross rent is $1,104/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42029306503?
17.6% of residents in tract 42029306503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,661.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42029306503?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 57th, minority 71th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 42029306503 considered part of Carillon?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42029306503 fall within Carillon (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42029306503?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 78 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42029306503 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.28% of renter households, peaking at 9.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42029306503 compare to Toughkenamon overall?
Tract 42029306503 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Toughkenamon at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toughkenamon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toughkenamon
Top eight tracts in Toughkenamon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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