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Neighborhood · Toughkenamon, PA

Carillon Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 2,661 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.5–5.5

Carillon maps to a single census tract in Toughkenamon, PA and houses 2,661 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. At $1,104 a month, rents sit 58% under what the rest of Toughkenamon commands.

The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 1.1/10. 42% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, lower than the Toughkenamon rate of 51.0%.

Severe burden reaches 20%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.8/10. Court records for this tract carry 78 eviction filings.

The poverty rate is 18%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 9.3% of renter households. Judgments average 3.1% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Rent takes 15% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Carillon vs Toughkenamon How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
41.7% -18%
Toughkenamon: 51.0%
Average gross rent
$1,104 -58%
Toughkenamon: $2,606
Average HH income
$87,708 -23%
Toughkenamon: $113,393
Poverty rate
17.6% +40%
Toughkenamon: 12.6%
Renter share
30.8% +15%
Toughkenamon: 26.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carillon and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.5–5.5

Why Carillon scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Rent control risk
42% of income on rent · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
31% renter households · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Economic stress
17.6% below poverty line · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.1–1.1 across tracts
1.1
Risk score comparison

Carillon vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Carillon score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.5CarillonNeighborhood4.1Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Carillon

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42029306503 5.5 2,661 42% $1,104
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 82

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 77%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 57%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 71%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 86%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Carillon

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 78Total filings (sum)
  • 6.28%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.3%Peak year (2006)
  • 9.27%Latest filed (2006)
Frequently asked

About Carillon

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Carillon?

Carillon scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Carillon compare to Toughkenamon overall?

Carillon scores 1.4 points higher than Toughkenamon overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 51% citywide. Average rent: $1,104 vs $2,606.
Q3

What is the average rent in Carillon?

Average gross rent in Carillon is $1,104/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Carillon residents are renters?

31% of Carillon households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Toughkenamon). The neighborhood has 2,661 residents.
Q5

Is Carillon a high social-vulnerability area?

Carillon sits in the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Carillon for landlords?

Carillon carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Toughkenamon as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Carillon?

Carillon has 2,359 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.9%), Hispanic / Latino (32.2%), Other / Multiracial (4.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Carillon

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Toughkenamon

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Carillon.

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