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Census Tract · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally

Tract 42041012702 Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 42041012702 · Cumberland County, PA · pop 4,236

Tract 42041012702 covers Cumberland in Pennsylvania. Home to 4,236 residents, it scores $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 12% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

7% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 1% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,201 a month against an average household income of $79,189 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 18% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 16% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,637
Renter share17.6%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$79,189

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 55 tracts In Cumberland County
Elevated
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#2,003 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Moderate
National
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#54,934 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cumberland County and the region

Centroid at 40.0716, -77.3400 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tract 42041012702 scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
3.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,201 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Tract 42041012702 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tract 42041012702 risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.23.2This tracttract 012702County: 3.23.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 18Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 3.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.8%Peak (2004)
  • 11Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2004
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420410127022000: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 7 filings (3.02/100 renter HHs)2004: 11 filings (4.75/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tract 42041012702

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Pennsylvania eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Cumberland County average of 5.1 and below the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 18 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 3.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.8% of renter households in 2004.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42041012702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42041012702?

Census tract 42041012702 in Cumberland County scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42041012702?

Median gross rent is $1,201/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 7% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42041012702?

6.0% of residents in tract 42041012702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,236.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42041012702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 42th, minority 7th, housing 57th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42041012702?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 18 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 42041012702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.89% of renter households, peaking at 4.8% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
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