Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally
David Manor Eviction Risk: Lower , Colonial Park
Tract 42043022605 · Dauphin County, PA · pop 5,068 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 42043022605 (the David Manor area of Colonial Park, Pennsylvania) comes in at 5.9/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 71st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
32% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,444 a month while the average household earns $83,872 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 42% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units2,122
Renter share42.1%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$83,872
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Colonial Park and the region
Centroid at 40.2856, -76.7857 · click any tract to drill in
Why David Manor scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Colonial Park
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,444 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Colonial Park
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Colonial Park
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Colonial Park
5.5
How David Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,105Total filings over 6 yrs
- 23.34%Avg annual filing rate
- 49.3%Peak (2006)
- 372Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 75% over the past 6 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in David Manor
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Colonial Park eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Dauphin County average of 5.9 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,105 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 23.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 49.3% of renter households in 2006.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 42043022605
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42043022605?
Census tract 42043022605 in the David Manor neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42043022605?
Median gross rent is $1,444/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42043022605?
8.7% of residents in tract 42043022605 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,068.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42043022605?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 47th, minority 57th, housing 57th.
Q5
Is tract 42043022605 considered part of David Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42043022605 fall within David Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42043022605?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,105 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 42043022605 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.34% of renter households, peaking at 49.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42043022605 compare to Colonial Park overall?
Tract 42043022605 scores 3.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Colonial Park at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Colonial Park eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Colonial Park
Top eight tracts in Colonial Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related