Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Wildflower Pond Eviction Risk: Lower , Clay
Tract 42071010202 · Lancaster County, PA · pop 5,647 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 42071010202 covers part of the Wildflower Pond area of Clay, PA, and scores 3.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,647. Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units2,229
Renter share25.1%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$82,295
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
36
th percentile
Low
Within state
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Clay and the region
Centroid at 40.2153, -76.2293 · click any tract to drill in
Why Wildflower Pond scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Clay
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,182 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Clay
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Clay
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Clay
3.7
How Wildflower Pond compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 7%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 164Total filings over 7 yrs
- 8.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.3%Peak (2006)
- 71Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 407% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Wildflower Pond
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.2/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 164 evictions over 7 years of observation. Average gross rent is $1,182, 14% above the Clay average.
Against the Lancaster County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. Filings peaked in 2006 at 23.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 8.8% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Against average income of $82,295, annual rent is just 17%. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42071010202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42071010202?
Census tract 42071010202 in the Wildflower Pond neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42071010202?
Median gross rent is $1,182/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42071010202?
5.0% of residents in tract 42071010202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,647.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42071010202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 23th, minority 7th, housing 36th.
Q5
Is tract 42071010202 considered part of Wildflower Pond?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42071010202 fall within Wildflower Pond (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42071010202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 164 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42071010202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.83% of renter households, peaking at 23.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42071010202 compare to Clay overall?
Tract 42071010202 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Clay at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Clay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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