6th Ward Eviction Risk: Elevated , Allentown

The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.2/10. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $45,571, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Against the Lehigh County average of 4.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Court records carry 331 eviction filings across 7 observed years. Filings peaked in 2004 at 11.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 9.6% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,312, close to the Allentown average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.