Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
1st Ward Eviction Risk: Elevated , Allentown
Tract 42077000500 · Lehigh County, PA · pop 2,521 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 42077000500 sits in the 1st Ward area of Allentown eviction risk, PA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.6/10. Population here is 2,521. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units801
Renter share73.4%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate17.1%
Median income$45,788
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
78
th percentile
High
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Allentown and the region
Centroid at 40.6055, -75.4588 · click any tract to drill in
Why 1st Ward scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Allentown
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
17.1% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,189 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Allentown
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Allentown
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Allentown
5.5
How 1st Ward compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 278Total filings over 7 yrs
- 11.85%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.2%Peak (2005)
- 44Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 33% over the past 7 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in 1st Ward
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against the Lehigh County average of 4.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points.
53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Lehigh County average of 45.1%. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.9/10.
Court records carry 278 eviction filings across 7 observed years. At $1,189 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Allentown commands.
The worst year on record was 2005, when 16.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 11.9% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42077000500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42077000500?
Census tract 42077000500 in the 1st Ward neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42077000500?
Median gross rent is $1,189/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42077000500?
17.1% of residents in tract 42077000500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,521.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42077000500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 95th, minority 90th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 42077000500 considered part of 1st Ward?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42077000500 fall within 1st Ward (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42077000500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 278 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42077000500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.85% of renter households, peaking at 16.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42077000500 compare to Allentown overall?
Tract 42077000500 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Allentown at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Allentown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Allentown
Top eight tracts in Allentown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
South Side
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
North of Tilghman
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Jordan Heights
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Sacred Heart
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Center City
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Arts District
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Rittersville
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
East Allentown
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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