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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Center City Eviction Risk: Elevated , Allentown

Tract 42077001000 · Lehigh County, PA · pop 4,198 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 6.6/10, tract 42077001000 in the Center City area of Allentown, PA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,198 residents. The severe-burden share is 43%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 69% Stable renters 11% Owners 20%
Tract context
Occupied units1,132
Renter share80.5%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate56.9%
Median income$32,599

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Center City
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 28 tracts In Allentown
Very High
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 81 tracts In Lehigh County
High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#436 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Allentown and the region

Centroid at 40.6072, -75.4717 · click any tract to drill in

Why Center City scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Allentown
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
56.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,305 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Allentown
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Allentown
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Allentown
5.5

How Center City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Center City risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.6This tracttract 0010005.2Allentownparent city4.7Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,172Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 26.37%Avg annual filing rate
  • 41.4%Peak (2006)
  • 236Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42077001000
Filings climbed 76% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Center City

Cost burden runs 86% here against 45.1% across Lehigh County. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 57%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Set annual rent against average income of $32,599 and the ratio lands at 48%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.2/10.

80% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against the Lehigh County average of 4.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points. The filing record is not thin: 1,172 evictions over 7 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2006, when 41.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 26.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 42077001000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42077001000?

Census tract 42077001000 in the Center City neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42077001000?

Median gross rent is $1,305/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 86% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42077001000?

56.9% of residents in tract 42077001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,198.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42077001000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 96th, minority 90th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 42077001000 considered part of Center City?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42077001000 fall within Center City (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42077001000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,172 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42077001000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 26.37% of renter households, peaking at 41.4% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42077001000 compare to Allentown overall?

Tract 42077001000 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Allentown at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Allentown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Allentown

Top eight tracts in Allentown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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