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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Arts District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Allentown

Tract 42077001200 · Lehigh County, PA · pop 2,633 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 42077001200 covers part of the Arts District area of Allentown, PA, and scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. 96% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49% Stable renters 47% Owners 4%
Tract context
Occupied units707
Renter share96.2%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate30.0%
Median income$48,451

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Arts District
Moderate
Within parent city
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#17 of 28 tracts In Allentown
Moderate
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 81 tracts In Lehigh County
High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#436 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Allentown and the region

Centroid at 40.6011, -75.4661 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arts District scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Allentown
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
30.0% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,171 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Allentown
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Allentown
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Allentown
5.5

How Arts District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arts District risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.6This tracttract 0012005.2Allentownparent city4.7Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 347Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 9.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.2%Peak (2006)
  • 73Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42077001200
Filings climbed 121% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arts District

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.2/10. Against the Lehigh County average of 4.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points.

The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Running hot, economic stress reads 7.5/10. Cost burden runs about half here against 45.1% across Lehigh County.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.8/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 347 filings here across 7 tracked years.

At $1,171 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Allentown commands. The worst year on record was 2006, when 12.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 9.1% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 42077001200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42077001200?

Census tract 42077001200 in the Arts District neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42077001200?

Median gross rent is $1,171/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42077001200?

30.0% of residents in tract 42077001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,633.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42077001200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 75th, minority 85th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 42077001200 considered part of Arts District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42077001200 fall within Arts District (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42077001200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 347 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42077001200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.07% of renter households, peaking at 12.2% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42077001200 compare to Allentown overall?

Tract 42077001200 scores 6.6/10, higher than the parent city of Allentown at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Allentown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Allentown

Top eight tracts in Allentown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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