Locust Valley Eviction Risk: Lower

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.1/10. The severe-burden share is 22%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.4/10.

Filings are well documented here: 96 across 2 observed tracts. Average gross rent is $1,110, 15% above the Coopersburg average of $968.

The worst year on record was 2003, when filings touched 7.0% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 2.9% in 2006, is well off that peak. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Against average income of $114,645, annual rent is only 12%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.8 points apart at the extremes.

With little internal variation, 3.2/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.