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Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , South Williamsport

Tract 42081011604 · Lycoming County, PA · pop 3,937 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 42081011604 covers part of the Downtown area of South Williamsport, PA, and scores 4.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is regional political climate at 2.9/10.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 24% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,533
Renter share36.6%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate12.6%
Median income$64,821

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Downtown
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In South Williamsport
Very High
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 32 tracts In Lycoming County
Elevated
Within state
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#1,763 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across South Williamsport and the region

Centroid at 41.2296, -76.9924 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from South Williamsport
3.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
12.6% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,000 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Williamsport
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Williamsport
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Williamsport
5.0

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.1This tracttract 0116044.0South Williamsportparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 37

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against Lycoming County at 38.9%, 33% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7/10.

Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 3/10. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Lycoming County average of 4.1 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,000, close to the South Williamsport average. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $64,821. 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 42081011604

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42081011604?

Census tract 42081011604 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42081011604?

Median gross rent is $1,000/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42081011604?

12.6% of residents in tract 42081011604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,937.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42081011604?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 67th, minority 19th, housing 21th.
Q5

Is tract 42081011604 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42081011604 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 42081011604 compare to South Williamsport overall?

Tract 42081011604 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of South Williamsport at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Williamsport eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in South Williamsport

Top eight tracts in South Williamsport ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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