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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Eviction Risk: Lower , South Williamsport

Tract 42081011603 · Lycoming County, PA · pop 2,309 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

42081011603 is a census tract in the Downtown area of South Williamsport, PA. It scores 3.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,309. Against Lycoming County at 38.9%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 11% Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units993
Renter share26.7%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$67,917

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Downtown
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In South Williamsport
Very Low
Within county
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 32 tracts In Lycoming County
Low
Within state
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#2,601 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across South Williamsport and the region

Centroid at 41.2293, -77.0086 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from South Williamsport
3.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.9
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$873 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Williamsport
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Williamsport
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Williamsport
5.0

How Downtown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.2This tracttract 0116034.0South Williamsportparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.1/10. At $873 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of South Williamsport commands.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.8/10. 11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Lycoming County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.

Well under the midpoint, regional political climate reads 2.9/10. Nationally it ranks #63,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $67,917, annual rent is just 15%.

Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 42081011603

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42081011603?

Census tract 42081011603 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42081011603?

Median gross rent is $873/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42081011603?

4.6% of residents in tract 42081011603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,309.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42081011603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 13th, minority 17th, housing 19th.
Q5

Is tract 42081011603 considered part of Downtown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42081011603 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 42081011603 compare to South Williamsport overall?

Tract 42081011603 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of South Williamsport at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Williamsport eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in South Williamsport

Top eight tracts in South Williamsport ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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