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Census Tract · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally

Blue Bell Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 42091203207 · Montgomery County, PA · pop 3,513 · 76% of tract blocks fall in Blue Bell

For landlords sizing up Blue Bell in Montgomery County, census tract 42091203207 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. That is riskier than about 34% of US census tracts.

30% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 10% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $3,501 a month against an average household income of $167,250 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 9% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 7% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,286
Renter share9.5%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$167,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Blue Bell
Moderate
Within county
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#199 of 219 tracts In Montgomery County
Very Low
Within state
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#3,392 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very Low
National
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#82,639 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Blue Bell and the region

Centroid at 40.1566, -75.2753 · click any tract to drill in

Why Blue Bell scores 1.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Blue Bell
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Blue Bell
2.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Blue Bell
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Blue Bell
2.2

How Blue Bell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Blue Bell risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.11.1This tracttract 203207Blue Bell: 3.83.8Blue Bellparent cityCounty: 2.32.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 3.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.8%Peak (2001)
  • 2Filings in 2004 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420912032072000: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2001: 2 filings (3.84/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 2 filings (3.84/100 renter HHs)2005: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2006: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Blue Bell

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Blue Bell, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Montgomery County average of 5.4 and below the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 4 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 3.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.8% of renter households in 2001.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 42091203207

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42091203207?

Census tract 42091203207 in Blue Bell scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42091203207?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42091203207?

1.4% of residents in tract 42091203207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,513.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42091203207?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 33th, minority 15th, housing 14th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42091203207?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 42091203207 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.84% of renter households, peaking at 3.8% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 42091203207 compare to Blue Bell overall?

Tract 42091203207 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Blue Bell at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Blue Bell; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Blue Bell

Top eight tracts in Blue Bell ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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