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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

East Germantown Eviction Risk: High , Philadelphia

Tract 42101024900 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 2,614 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 42101024900 covers part of the East Germantown area of Philadelphia, PA, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,614. 42% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 16% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units1,078
Renter share40.9%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate41.4%
Median income$24,904

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In East Germantown
Very High
Within parent city
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 408 tracts In Philadelphia
Very High
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#76 of 408 tracts In Philadelphia County
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region

Centroid at 40.0511, -75.1601 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Germantown scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
41.4% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,323 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5

How East Germantown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Germantown risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.0This tracttract 0249006.6Philadelphiaparent city6.6Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 189Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 12.54%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.1%Peak (2011)
  • 51Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42101024900
Filings climbed 42% over the past 4 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 182Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.55×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Germantown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Germantown

Set annual rent against average income of $24,904 and the ratio lands at 64%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 41%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Cost burden runs 61% here against 49.1% across Philadelphia County.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.

Against the Philadelphia County average of 6.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 189 filings here across 4 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2011 at 16.1% of renter households.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Philadelphia. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 12.5% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42101024900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101024900?

Census tract 42101024900 in the East Germantown neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42101024900?

Median gross rent is $1,323/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42101024900?

41.4% of residents in tract 42101024900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,614.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42101024900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 95th, minority 97th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 42101024900 considered part of East Germantown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101024900 fall within East Germantown (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101024900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 189 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101024900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.54% of renter households, peaking at 16.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 42101024900 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.55× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 42101024900 compare to Philadelphia overall?

Tract 42101024900 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 42101024900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia

Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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