Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally
East Germantown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Philadelphia
Tract 42101038900 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 3,429 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 42101038900 covers part of the East Germantown area of Philadelphia, PA, and scores 6.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,429. Average gross rent is $853, 39% below the Philadelphia average.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,310
Renter share29.0%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate17.9%
Median income$66,705
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 40.0543, -75.1683 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Germantown scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
17.9% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$853 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How East Germantown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 62%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 428Total filings over 4 yrs
- 20.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.7%Peak (2016)
- 119Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 346Total filings 2020-21
- 4.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 8.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.52×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Germantown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Germantown
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. 42% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Philadelphia County average of 49.1%. Court records carry 428 eviction filings across 4 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 23.7% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 20.7% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #16,032 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.2/10. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $66,705, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Philadelphia County average of 6.6 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101038900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101038900?
Census tract 42101038900 in the East Germantown neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101038900?
Median gross rent is $853/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101038900?
17.9% of residents in tract 42101038900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,429.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101038900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 78th, minority 93th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 42101038900 considered part of East Germantown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101038900 fall within East Germantown (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101038900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 428 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101038900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.74% of renter households, peaking at 23.7% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101038900 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.52× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101038900 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101038900 scores 6.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101038900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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