East Oak Lane Eviction Risk: Moderate

The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1.4/10. Severe burden reaches 21%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.2 to 6.6, a 1.4-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. At $1,128 a month, rents sit 19% under what the rest of Philadelphia commands.

Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. Filings are well documented here: 436 across 3 observed tracts. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 22.8% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 8.9% in 2016, is well off that peak. That places it #97 of 152 neighborhoods in Philadelphia.

For a like-for-like read, Normandy and Hawthorne score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.4 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.