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Neighborhood · Philadelphia, PA

Germantown - Morton Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 10,586 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.8/10 · range 7.1–8

Germantown - Morton spans 2 census tracts of Philadelphia, PA and houses 10,586 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7.8/10, Elevated tier. 54% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Philadelphia rate of 31.4%.

Average gross rent is $887, 37% below the Philadelphia average of $1,397. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1/10.

Severe burden reaches 24%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The poverty rate is 25%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.

Court records carry 1,035 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 26.9% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 11.5% in 2016, is well off that peak. That places it #28 of 152 neighborhoods in Philadelphia.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Belmont and Wissinoming. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 2 tracts score within 0.9 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $36,097.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Germantown - Morton vs Philadelphia How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.6% +71%
Philadelphia: 31.4%
Average gross rent
$887 -37%
Philadelphia: $1,397
Average HH income
$36,097 -41%
Philadelphia: $60,698
Poverty rate
25.2% +15%
Philadelphia: 22.0%
Renter share
58.0% +20%
Philadelphia: 48.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Germantown - Morton and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 7.1–8

Why Germantown - Morton scores 7.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
58% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
25.2% below poverty line · Range 5.6–6.5 across tracts
6.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Risk score comparison

Germantown - Morton vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Germantown - Morton score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.8Germantown - MortoNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city4.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Germantown - Morton

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
42101025200 8 8,034 62% $879
42101024600 7.1 2,552 26% $913
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 90

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 83%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 89%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 92%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 70%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Germantown - Morton

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,035Total filings (sum)
  • 11.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.9%Peak year (2012)
  • 11.07%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 943Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.0Avg monthly observed
  • 9.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.71×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach).

Frequently asked

About Germantown - Morton

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Germantown - Morton?

Germantown - Morton scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Germantown - Morton compare to Philadelphia overall?

Germantown - Morton scores 1.2 points higher than Philadelphia overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $887 vs $1,397.
Q3

What is the average rent in Germantown - Morton?

Average gross rent in Germantown - Morton is $887/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Germantown - Morton residents are renters?

58% of Germantown - Morton households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Philadelphia). The neighborhood has 10,586 residents.
Q5

Is Germantown - Morton a high social-vulnerability area?

Germantown - Morton sits in the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Germantown - Morton have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Germantown - Morton is census tract 42101025200 (score 8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.1 to 8, a spread of 0.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Germantown - Morton for landlords?

Germantown - Morton carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Philadelphia as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Germantown - Morton?

Germantown - Morton has 10,851 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (80.6%), White (non-Hispanic) (10.9%), Hispanic / Latino (6.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Germantown - Morton

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Philadelphia

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Germantown - Morton.

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