3 census tracts · pop 10,875 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.7/10
· range 6.9–8
Tioga Park is a 3-tract neighborhood of Philadelphia, PA, population 10,875. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.7/10, in the Elevated tier. 40% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
Cost burden runs roughly two in three against 31.4% citywide, putting Tioga Park 37.7% over its own city. The poverty rate is 50%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Set annual rent against average household income of $37,872 and the ratio lands at 43%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 8.5/10. Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 6.9 to 8. A 1.1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.
Court records for this tract carry 169 eviction filings. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.5/10.
Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 10.3% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 8.0% in 2016 against a 10.3% peak.
That places it #37 of 152 neighborhoods in Philadelphia. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,349, close to the Philadelphia average.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Tioga Park vs PhiladelphiaHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority81%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport86%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Tioga Park
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
169Total filings (sum)
9.63%Avg annual filing rate
10.3%Peak year (2012)
7.96%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
877Total filings 2020-21
3.9Avg monthly observed
6.6Pre-pandemic baseline
0.61×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach).
Frequently asked
About Tioga Park
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Tioga Park?
Tioga Park scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Tioga Park compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tioga Park scores 1.1 points higher than Philadelphia overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 69% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,349 vs $1,397.
Q3
What is the average rent in Tioga Park?
Average gross rent in Tioga Park is $1,349/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Tioga Park residents are renters?
61% of Tioga Park households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Philadelphia). The neighborhood has 10,875 residents.
Q5
Is Tioga Park a high social-vulnerability area?
Tioga Park sits in the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Tioga Park have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Tioga Park is census tract 42101018802 (score 8/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.9 to 8, a spread of 1.1 points.
Q7
How safe is Tioga Park for landlords?
Tioga Park carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Philadelphia as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Tioga Park?
Tioga Park has 10,240 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (63.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (20.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (15%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
