Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Strawberry Mansion Eviction Risk: High , Philadelphia
Tract 42101016902 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 3,925 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 42101016902 covers part of the Strawberry Mansion area of Philadelphia, PA, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 51%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,012
Renter share51.6%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate43.7%
Median income$22,422
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
81
th percentile
High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 39.9940, -75.1832 · click any tract to drill in
Why Strawberry Mansion scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
43.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,107 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Strawberry Mansion compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 100%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 422Total filings over 4 yrs
- 9.14%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.4%Peak (2011)
- 89Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 345Total filings 2020-21
- 4.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.66×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Strawberry Mansion. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Strawberry Mansion
Annualized rent equals 59% of average household income of $22,422, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
The poverty rate is 44%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.1/10. Cost burden runs 59% here against 49.1% across Philadelphia County.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Against the Philadelphia County average of 6.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. At $1,107 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Philadelphia commands.
Court records carry 422 eviction filings across 4 observed years. The worst year on record was 2011, when 10.4% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 9.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101016902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101016902?
Census tract 42101016902 in the Strawberry Mansion neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101016902?
Median gross rent is $1,107/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101016902?
43.7% of residents in tract 42101016902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,925.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101016902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 91th, minority 100th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 42101016902 considered part of Strawberry Mansion?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101016902 fall within Strawberry Mansion (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101016902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 422 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101016902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.14% of renter households, peaking at 10.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101016902 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.66× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101016902 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101016902 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101016902 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Wayne Junction
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Stanton
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Northwood
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Mill Creek
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Allegheny West
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Southwest Schuylkill
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Nicetown
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · PA
Powelton Village
8
/ 10 · High
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