Southwest Schuylkill Eviction Risk: Elevated

The poverty rate is 41%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The severe-burden share is 28%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The dominant input is economic stress at 8.2/10. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.1/10.

The 6 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 6.7 to 8, a 1.3-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Court records carry 883 eviction filings across its 5 observed tracts. On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,172, 16% below the Philadelphia average of $1,397. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 10.0% of renter households. Among the 152 mapped neighborhoods of Philadelphia, it ranks #37 by risk, the upper third.

Judgments average 2.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are Lawncrest and Tabor.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.3 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.