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Neighborhood · Philadelphia, PA

Tioga Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 7,115 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.9/10 · range 6.9–7

Tioga is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Philadelphia with 2 census tracts and a population of 7,115 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 65% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 28% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,120/month sits 20% lower than the Philadelphia citywide average ($1,397).

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Tioga vs Philadelphia How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
65.1% +107%
Philadelphia: 31.4%
Average gross rent
$1,120 -20%
Philadelphia: $1,397
Average HH income
$31,504 -48%
Philadelphia: $60,698
Poverty rate
33.0% +50%
Philadelphia: 22.0%
Renter share
40.8% -15%
Philadelphia: 48.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tioga and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6.9–7

Why Tioga scores 6.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.4–3.4 across tracts
3.4
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
65% of income on rent · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
41% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
33.0% below poverty line · Range 7.4–9.6 across tracts
8.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.8 across tracts
1.7
Risk score comparison

Tioga vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Tioga score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Tioga: 6.96.9TiogaNeighborhoodParent city: 5.55.5Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Tioga

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
42101017201 7 2,863 71% $1,397
42101020200 6.9 4,252 61% $934
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 86

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 92%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 71%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 98%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 57%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Tioga

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 534Total filings (sum)
  • 7.95%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.9%Peak year (2016)
  • 8.89%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 531Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.8Avg monthly observed
  • 6.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.56×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach).

Frequently asked

About Tioga

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Tioga?

Tioga scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Tioga compare to Philadelphia overall?

Tioga scores 1.4 points higher than Philadelphia overall (5.5/10). Renters spend 65% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,120 vs $1,397.
Q3

What is the average rent in Tioga?

Average gross rent in Tioga is $1,120/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Tioga residents are renters?

41% of Tioga households are renter-occupied (vs 48% in Philadelphia). The neighborhood has 7,115 residents.
Q5

Is Tioga a high social-vulnerability area?

Tioga sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Tioga have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Tioga is census tract 42101017201 (score 7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.9 to 7, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Tioga for landlords?

Tioga carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Philadelphia as a whole (5.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Tioga?

Tioga has 6,949 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (92.1%), Hispanic / Latino (4.3%), Other / Multiracial (2.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Tioga

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Philadelphia

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Tioga.

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