Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Tioga Eviction Risk: High , Philadelphia
Tract 42101017201 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 2,863 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 8/10, tract 42101017201 in the Tioga area of Philadelphia, PA reads high for landlord eviction risk. 46% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,492
Renter share39.7%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate38.2%
Median income$26,313
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
82
th percentile
High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 39.9994, -75.1686 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tioga scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
38.2% poverty · this tract
9.6
Supply constraint
$1,397 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Tioga compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 124Total filings over 4 yrs
- 6.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.0%Peak (2016)
- 40Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 38% over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 123Total filings 2020-21
- 1.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.57×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Tioga. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tioga
Against Philadelphia County at 49.1%, 71% of renters here are cost-burdened. Set annual rent against average income of $26,313 and the ratio lands at 64%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.6/10. The poverty rate is 38%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. Against the Philadelphia County average of 6.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points.
The filing record is not thin: 124 evictions over 4 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2016 at 6.0% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Philadelphia. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 6.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 8.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101017201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101017201?
Census tract 42101017201 in the Tioga neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101017201?
Median gross rent is $1,397/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101017201?
38.2% of residents in tract 42101017201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,863.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101017201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 59th, minority 99th, housing 53th.
Q5
Is tract 42101017201 considered part of Tioga?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101017201 fall within Tioga (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101017201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 124 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101017201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.10% of renter households, peaking at 6.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101017201 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.57× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101017201 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101017201 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101017201 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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