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Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Saw Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 42103950806 · Pike County, PA · pop 2,703 · 36% of tract blocks fall in Saw Creek

42103950806 is a census tract in Saw Creek, PA. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,703 residents. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 2% Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units847
Renter share16.1%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate14.5%
Median income$79,494

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Saw Creek
Moderate
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 25 tracts In Pike County
High
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#1,455 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Elevated
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Saw Creek and the region

Centroid at 41.1309, -75.0185 · click any tract to drill in

Why Saw Creek scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Saw Creek
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
14.5% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$2,221 rent vs county FMR
8.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Saw Creek
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Saw Creek
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Saw Creek
8.1

How Saw Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Saw Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 9508064.1Saw Creekparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Saw Creek

90% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Pike County average of 45.5%. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10. The voucher gap is 34.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Set annual rent against average income of $79,494 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.4/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.1/10. Against the Pike County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.

On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $2,221, close to the Saw Creek average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 42103950806

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42103950806?

Census tract 42103950806 in Saw Creek scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42103950806?

Median gross rent is $2,221/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 90% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42103950806?

14.5% of residents in tract 42103950806 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,703.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42103950806?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 60th, minority 77th, housing 2th.
Q5

How does tract 42103950806 compare to Saw Creek overall?

Tract 42103950806 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Saw Creek at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Saw Creek; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Saw Creek

Top eight tracts in Saw Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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