Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #61,558 of 84,120 nationally

Dover Eviction Risk: Lower , Weigelstown

Tract 42133020710 · York County, PA · pop 6,607 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

42133020710 is a census tract in the Dover area of Weigelstown, PA. It scores 3.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,607 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.2/10.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 8% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units2,945
Renter share16.8%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$87,446

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Dover
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Weigelstown
Very Low
Within county
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#76 of 108 tracts In York County
Low
Within state
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#2,502 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Weigelstown and the region

Centroid at 39.9935, -76.8411 · click any tract to drill in

Why Dover scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Weigelstown
4.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,221 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Weigelstown
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Weigelstown
3.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Weigelstown
5.8

How Dover compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Dover risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.3This tracttract 0207103.7Weigelstownparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 353Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 10.59%Avg annual filing rate
  • 15.8%Peak (2004)
  • 54Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42133020710
Filings climbed 50% over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Dover

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.2/10. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the York County average of 42.6%. Against the York County average of 4.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 353 evictions over 7 years of observation.

At $1,221 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Weigelstown commands. Filings peaked in 2004 at 15.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 10.6% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 27th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 4.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 42133020710

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42133020710?

Census tract 42133020710 in the Dover neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42133020710?

Median gross rent is $1,221/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42133020710?

5.0% of residents in tract 42133020710 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,607.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42133020710?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 73th, minority 21th, housing 40th.
Q5

Is tract 42133020710 considered part of Dover?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42133020710 fall within Dover (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42133020710?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 353 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42133020710 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.59% of renter households, peaking at 15.8% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42133020710 compare to Weigelstown overall?

Tract 42133020710 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Weigelstown at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Weigelstown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Weigelstown

Top eight tracts in Weigelstown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related