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Neighborhood · Warwick, RI

Coles Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 8,480 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 4.6–5.1

Coles is a 2-tract neighborhood of Warwick, RI, population 8,480. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.8/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Warwick baseline of 31.1%, 57% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.7/10. Severe burden reaches 15%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.1/10. That places it #9 of 17 neighborhoods in Warwick. At 18% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Against average income of $82,823, annual rent is only 20%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.5 points apart at the extremes.

Average gross rent runs $1,380, close to the Warwick average.

With little internal variation, 4.8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Coles vs Warwick How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.9% +83%
Warwick: 31.1%
Average gross rent
$1,380 +1%
Warwick: $1,363
Average HH income
$82,823 -5%
Warwick: $87,536
Poverty rate
6.8% -5%
Warwick: 7.1%
Renter share
18.2% -32%
Warwick: 26.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Coles and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.6–5.1

Why Coles scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Rent control risk
57% of income on rent · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
18% renter households · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Economic stress
6.8% below poverty line · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–5.0 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Coles vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Coles score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.8ColesNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city5.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Coles

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
44003021402 5.1 3,798 39% $1,614
44003021300 4.6 4,682 72% $1,191
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 43

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 41%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 42%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 18%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 60%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Coles

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Coles

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Coles?

Coles scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Coles compare to Warwick overall?

Coles scores 0.2 points higher than Warwick overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,380 vs $1,363.
Q3

What is the average rent in Coles?

Average gross rent in Coles is $1,380/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Coles residents are renters?

18% of Coles households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Warwick). The neighborhood has 8,480 residents.
Q5

Is Coles a high social-vulnerability area?

Coles sits in the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Coles have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Coles is census tract 44003021402 (score 5.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.6 to 5.1, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Coles for landlords?

Coles carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Warwick as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Coles?

Coles has 8,395 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (87.2%), Hispanic / Latino (4.9%), Other / Multiracial (4.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Coles

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Warwick

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Coles.

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