Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally
Waterford Eviction Risk: Elevated , Woonsocket
Tract 44007017400 · Providence County, RI · pop 4,310 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 44007017400 sits in the Waterford area of Woonsocket eviction risk, RI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.9/10. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,565
Renter share61.3%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate28.3%
Median income$48,040
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Woonsocket and the region
Centroid at 42.0040, -71.5324 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waterford scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Woonsocket
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
28.3% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$1,004 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Woonsocket
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Woonsocket
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Woonsocket
7.0
How Waterford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 82%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 13%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 206Total filings over 2 yrs
- 9.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.9%Peak (2015)
- 86Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 518Total filings 2020-21
- 6.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 8.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.79×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 26.1%Housing insecurity
- 17.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 33.7%Food insecurity
- 33.4%SNAP enrollment
- 16.0%Transit barriers
- 15.5%No health insurance
- 21.9%Frequent mental distress
- 37.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waterford
It sits 2.2 points above the Providence County average of 5.7. SNAP participation runs 33.4% against 15.2% nationally.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.2/10. Cost burden runs 54% here against 43.2% across Providence County.
The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10.
Court records carry 206 eviction filings across 2 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Average gross rent is $1,004, 14% below the Woonsocket average. Filings peaked in 2015 at 11.9% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 10.0% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007017400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007017400?
Census tract 44007017400 in the Waterford neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007017400?
Median gross rent is $1,004/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007017400?
28.3% of residents in tract 44007017400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,310.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007017400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 99th, minority 71th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 44007017400 considered part of Waterford?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007017400 fall within Waterford (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007017400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 206 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007017400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.97% of renter households, peaking at 11.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007017400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.79× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007017400 struggle to pay rent?
About 26.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007017400 compare to Woonsocket overall?
Tract 44007017400 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Woonsocket at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Woonsocket eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007017400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 13% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Woonsocket
Top eight tracts in Woonsocket ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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