Within parent city
56
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Goose Creek Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 45015020707 · Berkeley County, SC · pop 6,878 · 30% of tract blocks fall in Goose Creek
Census tract 45015020707 covers part of Goose Creek, SC, and scores 3.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,878 residents. The severe-burden share is 44%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units2,656
Renter share22.7%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate7.0%
Median income$76,616
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
National
33
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Goose Creek and the region
Centroid at 33.0619, -80.0441 · click any tract to drill in
Why Goose Creek scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Goose Creek
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
7.0% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,385 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goose Creek
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goose Creek
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goose Creek
4.8
How Goose Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 646Total filings over 5 yrs
- 20.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 26.4%Peak (2010)
- 123Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.9%Housing insecurity
- 8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.5%Food insecurity
- 8.9%SNAP enrollment
- 8.5%Transit barriers
- 11.5%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 31.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Goose Creek
Cost burden runs 58% here against 37.8% across Berkeley County. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.7/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.1/10.
Average gross rent is $1,385, 18% below the Goose Creek average. Court records carry 646 eviction filings across 5 observed years. The worst year on record was 2010, when 26.4% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 20.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #56,048 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Berkeley County average of 3.8 closely.
Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $76,616.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 45015020707
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45015020707?
Census tract 45015020707 in Goose Creek scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45015020707?
Median gross rent is $1,385/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45015020707?
7.0% of residents in tract 45015020707 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,878.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45015020707?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 51th, minority 54th, housing 22th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45015020707?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 646 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45015020707 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 20.74% of renter households, peaking at 26.4% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 45015020707 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 45015020707 compare to Goose Creek overall?
Tract 45015020707 scores 3.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Goose Creek at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goose Creek eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Goose Creek
Top eight tracts in Goose Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · SC
45015020718
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · SC
45015020712
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · SC
45015020808
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · SC
Deerfield Place
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · SC
45015020806
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · SC
Timbercrest Village at Tanner Plantation
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · SC
45015020725
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · SC
45015020804
3.6
/ 10 · Low
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