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Census Tract · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Goose Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 45015020718 · Berkeley County, SC · pop 6,126 · 34% of tract blocks fall in Goose Creek

Tract 45015020718, home to 6,126 residents in Goose Creek in Berkeley County, scores 6.4/10 for landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 84th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,531 monthly, set against $63,159 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 24% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units3,097
Renter share55.8%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate24.1%
Median income$63,159

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 17 tracts In Goose Creek
Very High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 48 tracts In Berkeley County
High
Within state
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#600 of 1,317 tracts In South Carolina
Moderate
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,389 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Goose Creek and the region

Centroid at 33.0440, -80.0904 · click any tract to drill in

Why Goose Creek scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Goose Creek
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
24.1% poverty · this tract
6.0
Supply constraint
$1,531 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Goose Creek
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Goose Creek
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Goose Creek
4.8

How Goose Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Goose Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 020718Goose Creek: 2.42.4Goose Creekparent cityCounty: 2.92.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,647Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 98.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 137.6%Peak (2010)
  • 758Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2014
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 450150207182010: 852 filings (137.64/100 renter HHs)2011: 706 filings (89.94/100 renter HHs)2012: 658 filings (83.82/100 renter HHs)2013: 673 filings (85.73/100 renter HHs)2014: 758 filings (96.56/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Goose Creek

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Goose Creek eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Berkeley County average of 5.5 and above the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 3,647 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 98.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 137.6% of renter households in 2010.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 45015020718

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45015020718?

Census tract 45015020718 in Goose Creek scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 45015020718?

Median gross rent is $1,531/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 45015020718?

24.1% of residents in tract 45015020718 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,126.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 45015020718?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 71th, minority 64th, housing 93th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45015020718?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,647 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45015020718 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 98.74% of renter households, peaking at 137.6% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 45015020718 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 45015020718 compare to Goose Creek overall?

Tract 45015020718 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Goose Creek at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Goose Creek eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Goose Creek

Top eight tracts in Goose Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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