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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Forestdale Eviction Risk: Moderate , North Charleston

Tract 45019003104 · Charleston County, SC · pop 5,451 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 45019003104 sits in the Forestdale area of North Charleston eviction risk, SC, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It is home to 5,451 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 42% Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units2,094
Renter share81.6%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate22.3%
Median income$44,515

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Forestdale
Moderate
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 31 tracts In North Charleston
Very High
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 98 tracts In Charleston County
High
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#276 of 1,317 tracts In South Carolina
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across North Charleston and the region

Centroid at 32.9290, -80.0393 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forestdale scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from North Charleston
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
22.3% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,229 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from North Charleston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from North Charleston
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from North Charleston
3.0

How Forestdale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forestdale risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0031043.4North Charlestonparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,388Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 50.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 61.7%Peak (2012)
  • 421Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 45019003104
Filings dropped 42% over the past 4 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,839Total filings 2020-21
  • 23.9Avg monthly (observed)
  • 50.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.47×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Charleston, SC as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forestdale

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. 82% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Set annual rent against average income of $44,515 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.8/10.

The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.1 points above the Charleston County average of 3.7.

Housing insecurity runs 24.2% against 14.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 2,388 evictions over 4 years of observation. At $1,229 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of North Charleston commands.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2012, when 61.7% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 50.8% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 45019003104

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45019003104?

Census tract 45019003104 in the Forestdale neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 45019003104?

Median gross rent is $1,229/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 45019003104?

22.3% of residents in tract 45019003104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,451.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 45019003104?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 74th, minority 85th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 45019003104 considered part of Forestdale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45019003104 fall within Forestdale (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45019003104?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,388 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 45019003104 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 50.81% of renter households, peaking at 61.7% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 45019003104 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.47× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Charleston eviction risk, SC), 2020-2021.
Q8

What share of households in tract 45019003104 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9

How does tract 45019003104 compare to North Charleston overall?

Tract 45019003104 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of North Charleston at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from North Charleston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in North Charleston

Top eight tracts in North Charleston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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