Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Monte Carlo MHC Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dunean
Tract 45045002106 · Greenville County, SC · pop 2,974 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 4.9/10, tract 45045002106 in the Monte Carlo MHC area of Welcome, SC reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,974. Severe burden reaches 41%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,330
Renter share53.4%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate18.0%
Median income$40,764
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dunean and the region
Centroid at 34.8274, -82.4380 · click any tract to drill in
Why Monte Carlo MHC scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dunean
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.1
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
18.0% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$966 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dunean
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dunean
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dunean
4.1
How Monte Carlo MHC compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 93%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 729Total filings 2020-21
- 10.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 15.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.66×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Greenville, SC as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Monte Carlo MHC. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 24.3%Housing insecurity
- 17.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 34.4%Food insecurity
- 24.1%SNAP enrollment
- 15.5%Transit barriers
- 22.6%No health insurance
- 20.3%Frequent mental distress
- 41.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Monte Carlo MHC
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.6/10. Against Greenville County at 45.8%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.1/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 22.6% against 11.3% nationally. The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
SNAP participation runs 24.1% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 0.8 points above the Greenville County average of 4.1. At $966 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Welcome commands.
That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the SC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 45045002106
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45045002106?
Census tract 45045002106 in the Monte Carlo MHC neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45045002106?
Median gross rent is $966/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45045002106?
18.0% of residents in tract 45045002106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,974.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45045002106?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 93th, minority 78th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 45045002106 considered part of Monte Carlo MHC?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45045002106 fall within Monte Carlo MHC (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 45045002106 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.66× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Greenville eviction risk, SC), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 45045002106 struggle to pay rent?
About 24.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 45045002106 compare to Dunean overall?
Tract 45045002106 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Dunean at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dunean; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dunean
Top eight tracts in Dunean ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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