Indigo Bay Eviction Risk: Moderate

The severe-burden share is 37%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.1/10.

The voucher gap is 19.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Court records for this tract carry 312 eviction filings. The poverty rate is 17%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 19.1% of renter households. Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Carolina Forest, it ranks #2 by risk, the middle third.

Judgments average 3.9% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Sawgrass East and Heatherstone.

Average gross rent runs $1,674, close to the Carolina Forest average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $80,838.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.