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Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Sawgrass East Eviction Risk: Moderate , Carolina Forest

Tract 45051060206 · Horry County, SC · pop 8,680 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 4.1/10, tract 45051060206 in the Sawgrass East area of Carolina Forest, SC reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 8,680. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.5/10.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 12% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units3,491
Renter share25.9%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate15.0%
Median income$70,282

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Sawgrass East
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Carolina Forest
Very High
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 77 tracts In Horry County
Elevated
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#533 of 1,317 tracts In South Carolina
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Carolina Forest and the region

Centroid at 33.7508, -78.9257 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sawgrass East scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Carolina Forest
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
15.0% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,328 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carolina Forest
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carolina Forest
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carolina Forest
6.2

How Sawgrass East compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sawgrass East risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.1This tracttract 0602064.0Carolina Forestparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,909Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 35.31%Avg annual filing rate
  • 43.1%Peak (2014)
  • 475Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2014
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 45051060206
Filings climbed 80% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sawgrass East

Against Horry County at 44.6%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.1/10.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10. Average gross rent is $1,328, 20% below the Carolina Forest average. Court records carry 1,909 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

SNAP participation runs 7.8% against 15.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2014 at 43.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 35.3% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Horry County average of 3.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $70,282.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 45051060206

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45051060206?

Census tract 45051060206 in the Sawgrass East neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 45051060206?

Median gross rent is $1,328/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 45051060206?

15.0% of residents in tract 45051060206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,680.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 45051060206?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 26th, minority 35th, housing 40th.
Q5

Is tract 45051060206 considered part of Sawgrass East?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45051060206 fall within Sawgrass East (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45051060206?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,909 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45051060206 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 35.31% of renter households, peaking at 43.1% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 45051060206 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 45051060206 compare to Carolina Forest overall?

Tract 45051060206 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Carolina Forest at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carolina Forest eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carolina Forest

Top eight tracts in Carolina Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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