Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Sawgrass East Eviction Risk: Lower , Carolina Forest
Tract 45051060206 · Horry County, SC · pop 8,680 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Sawgrass East in Carolina Forest anchors census tract 45051060206, which lands at $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,328 monthly, set against $70,282 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units3,491
Renter share25.9%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate15.0%
Median income$70,282
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carolina Forest and the region
Centroid at 33.7508, -78.9257 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sawgrass East scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carolina Forest
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
15.0% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,328 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carolina Forest
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carolina Forest
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carolina Forest
6.2
How Sawgrass East compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,909Total filings over 5 yrs
- 35.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 43.1%Peak (2014)
- 475Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 80% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.1%Food insecurity
- 7.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 11.7%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 29.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sawgrass East
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carolina Forest eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Horry County average of 5.3 and above the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,909 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 35.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 43.1% of renter households in 2014.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 45051060206
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45051060206?
Census tract 45051060206 in the Sawgrass East neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45051060206?
Median gross rent is $1,328/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45051060206?
15.0% of residents in tract 45051060206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,680.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45051060206?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 26th, minority 35th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 45051060206 considered part of Sawgrass East?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45051060206 fall within Sawgrass East (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45051060206?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,909 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45051060206 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 35.31% of renter households, peaking at 43.1% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 45051060206 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 45051060206 compare to Carolina Forest overall?
Tract 45051060206 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Carolina Forest at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carolina Forest eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carolina Forest
Top eight tracts in Carolina Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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