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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Indigo Bay Eviction Risk: Moderate , Carolina Forest

Tract 45051060207 · Horry County, SC · pop 8,691 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 4/10, tract 45051060207 in the Indigo Bay area of Carolina Forest, SC reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 8,691 residents. 37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 8% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units2,953
Renter share20.3%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate16.9%
Median income$80,838

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Indigo Bay
Moderate
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Carolina Forest
High
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#29 of 77 tracts In Horry County
Elevated
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#562 of 1,317 tracts In South Carolina
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Carolina Forest and the region

Centroid at 33.7649, -78.8912 · click any tract to drill in

Why Indigo Bay scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Carolina Forest
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
16.9% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,674 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carolina Forest
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carolina Forest
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carolina Forest
6.2

How Indigo Bay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Indigo Bay risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.0This tracttract 0602074.0Carolina Forestparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 312Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 13.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.1%Peak (2014)
  • 89Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2014
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 45051060207
Filings climbed 53% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Indigo Bay

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.5/10. Cost burden runs 58% here against 44.6% across Horry County. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.1/10.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10. The voucher gap is 19.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Court records carry 312 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

SNAP participation runs 8.1% against 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2014, when 19.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 13.1% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 5.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 45051060207

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45051060207?

Census tract 45051060207 in the Indigo Bay neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 45051060207?

Median gross rent is $1,674/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 45051060207?

16.9% of residents in tract 45051060207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,691.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 45051060207?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 67th, minority 32th, housing 24th.
Q5

Is tract 45051060207 considered part of Indigo Bay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45051060207 fall within Indigo Bay (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45051060207?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 312 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45051060207 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.14% of renter households, peaking at 19.1% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 45051060207 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 45051060207 compare to Carolina Forest overall?

Tract 45051060207 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Carolina Forest at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carolina Forest eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carolina Forest

Top eight tracts in Carolina Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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