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Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally

Indigo Bay Eviction Risk: Lower , Carolina Forest

Tract 45051060207 · Horry County, SC · pop 8,691 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

The Elevated-tier score of 6.2/10 for census tract 45051060207 reflects conditions in Indigo Bay in Carolina Forest, South Carolina. It lands near the 79th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 58% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,674 a month while the average household earns $80,838 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 20% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 8% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units2,953
Renter share20.3%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate16.9%
Median income$80,838

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Indigo Bay
Moderate
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Carolina Forest
High
Within county
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#37 of 77 tracts In Horry County
Moderate
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#743 of 1,317 tracts In South Carolina
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Carolina Forest and the region

Centroid at 33.7649, -78.8912 · click any tract to drill in

Why Indigo Bay scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Carolina Forest
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
16.9% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,674 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carolina Forest
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carolina Forest
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carolina Forest
6.2

How Indigo Bay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Indigo Bay risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 060207Carolina Forest: 2.72.7Carolina Forestparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 312Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 13.14%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.1%Peak (2014)
  • 89Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2014
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 450510602072010: 58 filings (11.09/100 renter HHs)2011: 60 filings (12.90/100 renter HHs)2012: 49 filings (10.54/100 renter HHs)2013: 56 filings (12.04/100 renter HHs)2014: 89 filings (19.14/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 53% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Indigo Bay

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carolina Forest eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Horry County average of 5.3 and above the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 312 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 13.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 19.1% of renter households in 2014.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 45051060207

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45051060207?

Census tract 45051060207 in the Indigo Bay neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 45051060207?

Median gross rent is $1,674/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 45051060207?

16.9% of residents in tract 45051060207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,691.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 45051060207?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 67th, minority 32th, housing 24th.
Q5

Is tract 45051060207 considered part of Indigo Bay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45051060207 fall within Indigo Bay (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45051060207?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 312 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45051060207 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.14% of renter households, peaking at 19.1% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 45051060207 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 45051060207 compare to Carolina Forest overall?

Tract 45051060207 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Carolina Forest at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carolina Forest eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carolina Forest

Top eight tracts in Carolina Forest ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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