Midway Forest Eviction Risk: Lower

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10. The voucher gap is 27.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. The severe-burden share is 21%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.9/10. On the high side is supply constraint at 7.8/10.

SNAP participation is 3.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 160 evictions logged in this tract. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.4% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2012, when filings touched 10.3% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 5.5% in 2014, is well off that peak.

At $1,656 a month, rents sit 7% over what the rest of Lexington commands. Among the 10 mapped neighborhoods of Lexington, it ranks #3 by risk, the upper third.

Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.