Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Greyland Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , Oak Grove
Tract 45063020512 · Lexington County, SC · pop 3,945 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
45063020512 is a census tract in the Greyland Forest area of Oak Grove, SC. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,945 residents. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Lexington County average of 37.2%.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,505
Renter share28.2%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$64,683
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
40
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oak Grove and the region
Centroid at 33.9957, -81.1401 · click any tract to drill in
Why Greyland Forest scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oak Grove
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,219 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Grove
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Grove
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Grove
7.3
How Greyland Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 16%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.8%Food insecurity
- 8.0%SNAP enrollment
- 7.4%Transit barriers
- 10.8%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 29.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Greyland Forest
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.1/10. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10. At $1,219 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Oak Grove commands. SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. It tracks the Lexington County average of 3.9 closely.
Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $64,683. 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 45063020512
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45063020512?
Census tract 45063020512 in the Greyland Forest neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45063020512?
Median gross rent is $1,219/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45063020512?
8.2% of residents in tract 45063020512 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,945.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45063020512?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 71th, minority 16th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 45063020512 considered part of Greyland Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45063020512 fall within Greyland Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 45063020512 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 45063020512 compare to Oak Grove overall?
Tract 45063020512 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Oak Grove at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oak Grove
Top eight tracts in Oak Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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