Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally
Timmons Pond Eviction Risk: Lower , Oak Grove
Tract 45063021034 · Lexington County, SC · pop 4,424 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Tract 45063021034 covers the Timmons Pond neighborhood of Oak Grove in South Carolina. Home to 4,424 residents, it scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 31% of US census tracts.
15% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $958 a month against an average household income of $74,719 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 17% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,845
Renter share17.5%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$74,719
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
34
th percentile
Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oak Grove and the region
Centroid at 33.9580, -81.1546 · click any tract to drill in
Why Timmons Pond scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oak Grove
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$958 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Grove
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Grove
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Grove
7.3
How Timmons Pond compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 21
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 350Total filings over 5 yrs
- 19.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.5%Peak (2014)
- 92Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 46% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.4%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.3%Food insecurity
- 8.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.9%Transit barriers
- 10.7%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 28.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Timmons Pond
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oak Grove eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Lexington County average of 5.3 and below the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 350 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 19.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 23.5% of renter households in 2014.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 45063021034
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45063021034?
Census tract 45063021034 in the Timmons Pond neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45063021034?
Median gross rent is $958/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45063021034?
6.8% of residents in tract 45063021034 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,424.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45063021034?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 23th, minority 49th, housing 23th.
Q5
Is tract 45063021034 considered part of Timmons Pond?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45063021034 fall within Timmons Pond (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45063021034?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 350 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45063021034 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.10% of renter households, peaking at 23.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 45063021034 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 45063021034 compare to Oak Grove overall?
Tract 45063021034 scores 2.6/10, higher than the parent city of Oak Grove at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oak Grove
Top eight tracts in Oak Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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