Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Timmons Pond Eviction Risk: Lower , Oak Grove
Tract 45063021034 · Lexington County, SC · pop 4,424 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 45063021034 covers part of the Timmons Pond area of Oak Grove, SC, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,424. Cost burden runs 15% here against 37.2% across Lexington County.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,845
Renter share17.5%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$74,719
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oak Grove and the region
Centroid at 33.9580, -81.1546 · click any tract to drill in
Why Timmons Pond scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oak Grove
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$958 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Grove
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Grove
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Grove
7.3
How Timmons Pond compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 21
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 350Total filings over 5 yrs
- 19.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 23.5%Peak (2014)
- 92Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 46% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.4%Housing insecurity
- 8.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.3%Food insecurity
- 8.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.9%Transit barriers
- 10.7%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 28.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Timmons Pond
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.6/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.1/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.7/10. Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 0.9 points below the Lexington County average of 3.9.
The filing record is not thin: 350 evictions over 5 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2014 at 23.5% of renter households.
Average gross rent is $958, 8% below the Oak Grove average. In a typical year about 19.1% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 2.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $74,719, annual rent is just 15%. Statewide the SC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 45063021034
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45063021034?
Census tract 45063021034 in the Timmons Pond neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45063021034?
Median gross rent is $958/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45063021034?
6.8% of residents in tract 45063021034 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,424.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45063021034?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 23th, minority 49th, housing 23th.
Q5
Is tract 45063021034 considered part of Timmons Pond?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45063021034 fall within Timmons Pond (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45063021034?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 350 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45063021034 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.10% of renter households, peaking at 23.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 45063021034 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 45063021034 compare to Oak Grove overall?
Tract 45063021034 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Oak Grove at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Grove eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oak Grove
Top eight tracts in Oak Grove ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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