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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Mill Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cayce

Tract 45063020300 · Lexington County, SC · pop 3,980 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 45063020300 covers part of the Mill Village area of West Columbia, SC, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.6/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 43% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units2,305
Renter share77.4%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate22.9%
Median income$50,869

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Mill Village
Very High
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 6 tracts In Cayce
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 92 tracts In Lexington County
Very High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#93 of 1,317 tracts In South Carolina
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cayce and the region

Centroid at 33.9896, -81.0629 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mill Village scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cayce
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.5
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
22.9% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,263 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cayce
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cayce
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cayce
6.3

How Mill Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mill Village risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0203004.2Cayceparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,190Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 16.53%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.6%Peak (2010)
  • 169Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2010 to 2014
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 45063020300
Filings dropped 48% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mill Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mill Village

This is renter territory: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.

It sits 1.5 points above the Lexington County average of 3.9. Cost burden runs 45% here against 37.2% across Lexington County.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.1/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

The filing record is not thin: 1,190 evictions over 5 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2010, when 22.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 16.5% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the SC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 45063020300

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45063020300?

Census tract 45063020300 in the Mill Village neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 45063020300?

Median gross rent is $1,263/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 45063020300?

22.9% of residents in tract 45063020300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,980.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 45063020300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 39th, minority 55th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 45063020300 considered part of Mill Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45063020300 fall within Mill Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45063020300?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,190 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45063020300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.53% of renter households, peaking at 22.6% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 45063020300 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 45063020300 compare to Cayce overall?

Tract 45063020300 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Cayce at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cayce eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cayce

Top eight tracts in Cayce ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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