Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Zimmerman Eviction Risk: Lower , Roebuck
Tract 45083023804 ·
Spartanburg County, SC · pop 3,641 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 45083023804 covers part of the Lake Zimmerman area of Roebuck, SC, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%Stable renters 7%Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,439
Renter share26.5%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$62,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Lake Zimmerman
Moderate
Within parent city
0th percentile
#5 of 5 tracts In Roebuck
Very Low
Within county
21th percentile
#69 of 87 tracts In Spartanburg County
Low
Within state
29th percentile
#932 of 1,317 tracts In South Carolina
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Roebuck and the region
Centroid at 34.8641, -81.8877 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Zimmerman scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Roebuck
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$885 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roebuck
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roebuck
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roebuck
4.1
How Lake Zimmerman compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
35%Socioeconomic
29%Household composition
24%Racial/ethnic minority
35%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.8%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
10.8%Food insecurity
5.8%SNAP enrollment
5.8%Transit barriers
8.5%No health insurance
14.8%Frequent mental distress
30.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Zimmerman
Against Spartanburg County at 42.3%, 73% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.1/10.
SNAP participation runs 5.8% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Spartanburg County average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points.
Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $62,250, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the SC average is 4.0, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler.
Average gross rent is $885, close to the Roebuck average. 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 45083023804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45083023804?
Census tract 45083023804 in the Lake Zimmerman neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45083023804?
Median gross rent is $885/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45083023804?
10.0% of residents in tract 45083023804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,641.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45083023804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 35th, household 29th, minority 24th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 45083023804 considered part of Lake Zimmerman?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45083023804 fall within Lake Zimmerman (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 45083023804 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 45083023804 compare to Roebuck overall?
Tract 45083023804 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Roebuck at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roebuck; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Roebuck
Top eight tracts in Roebuck ranked by composite eviction-risk score.