Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally
Emerald Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate , Valley Falls
Tract 45083021803 · Spartanburg County, SC · pop 7,331 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 45083021803, home to 7,331 residents in the Emerald Springs neighborhood of Valley Falls, scores 6.4/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 84% of US census tracts.
58% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,051 a month against an average household income of $65,819 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units2,864
Renter share31.8%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate17.0%
Median income$65,819
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
75
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Valley Falls and the region
Centroid at 35.0126, -82.0031 · click any tract to drill in
Why Emerald Springs scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Valley Falls
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
17.0% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,051 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Valley Falls
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Valley Falls
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Valley Falls
7.6
How Emerald Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 140Total filings over 1 yrs
- 19.72%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.7%Peak (2010)
- 140Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.9%Housing insecurity
- 10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.0%Food insecurity
- 12.0%SNAP enrollment
- 9.9%Transit barriers
- 13.6%No health insurance
- 18.5%Frequent mental distress
- 33.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Emerald Springs
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Valley Falls, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Spartanburg County average of 5.5 and above the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 140 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 19.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 19.7% of renter households in 2010.
In CDC survey modeling, about 15.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 45083021803
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45083021803?
Census tract 45083021803 in the Emerald Springs neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45083021803?
Median gross rent is $1,051/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45083021803?
17.0% of residents in tract 45083021803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,331.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45083021803?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 80th, minority 49th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 45083021803 considered part of Emerald Springs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45083021803 fall within Emerald Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45083021803?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 140 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 45083021803 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.72% of renter households, peaking at 19.7% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 45083021803 struggle to pay rent?
About 15.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 45083021803 compare to Valley Falls overall?
Tract 45083021803 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Valley Falls at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Valley Falls; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Valley Falls
Top eight tracts in Valley Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related